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Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Fitch: In 2025, the prospects of all segments of the US technology market are neutral. It is expected that the investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and the PC update cycle will promote the single-digit growth in the semiconductor segment.

Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)The era of 5G-A is coming, and the head of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology revealed at the China 5G Development Conference held in Shanghai that China has completed the development goal of 5G construction in the 14th Five-Year Plan ahead of schedule. Zhang Yunming said that the 5G network has fully covered key hot spots such as government affairs centers, cultural tourism scenic spots and traffic trunk lines, and has been continuously expanding and deepening to remote rural areas. China's 5G technology industry has built a complete industrial chain covering communication chips, terminals, base station equipment, facilities and meters, and nearly 2,000 5G terminal products have been put on the market. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has held seven 5G application solicitation competitions, with more than 100,000 application cases, and 5G applications have been integrated into 80 of 97 national economic categories. According to the report of Global System for Mobile Communications (GSMA), the mobile ecosystem represented by 5G in China created about 8 million jobs in 2023.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.

China calls for supporting Afghanistan to rebuild its financial system and eradicate the breeding ground for terrorism. On December 12, local time, the UN Security Council reviewed the situation in Afghanistan, paying attention to the serious restrictions on women's rights and interests in the country and the still insufficient humanitarian funds. The Chinese representative pointed out that Afghanistan is currently at a critical stage of peaceful reconstruction, and the international community should play a better role in solving the outstanding problems facing Afghanistan. Fu Cong, Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, pointed out that humanitarian relief concerns the vital interests of all Afghan people and must not be used as a bargaining chip for political pressure. China calls on traditional donors to increase capital investment, especially on the United States to unconditionally unfreeze and fully return overseas assets belonging to the Afghan people. Affected by unilateral sanctions, Afghanistan's banking system has been isolated from the international financial system for a long time. Relevant countries should immediately and unconditionally lift illegal unilateral sanctions and support Afghanistan in rebuilding its financial system.The "construction drawing" of capital market reform in 2025 is clear, "expanding patient capital", "attracting social capital to participate in venture capital more vigorously", "deepening comprehensive reform of capital market investment and financing" and "expanding high-level opening up" ... The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12, and the economic work in 2025 was deployed. Many formulations and requirements are closely related to the capital market reform, development and stability in 2025. Experts said that in 2025, the capital market reform will continue to be comprehensively promoted, and it will become the focus to expand patient capital, deepen comprehensive reform of investment and financing, and expand high-level opening up. The "construction drawing" of the capital market reform has become clearer, and it is necessary to do a good job in the future to achieve results and further consolidate the "stable" foundation of the market. (CSI)Trump: I met Harold Daggett, president of Ila.